Taffs Well vs Newport YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
TAF
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 0
TAF
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
BFC
1 - 1
TAF
70%
18%
13%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
GOY
4 - 3
TAF
83%
12%
6%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
BRI
5 - 2
TAF
77%
14%
8%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Newport YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
HOL
5 - 6
NWP
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 3
NWP
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
NWP
1 - 2
DIN
33%
25%
43%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
CWM
4 - 1
NWP
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 1
NWP
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |