Apertura Paraguay Normal Season Round 18

Tacuary vs Libertad analysis

Tacuary Libertad
77 ELO 78
-1.3% Tilt -3%
1472º General ELO ranking 752º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.8%
Tacuary
26.3%
Draw
30.9%
Libertad

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
Tacuary
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31%
Win probability
Libertad
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tacuary
-12%
+4%
Libertad

Points and table prediction

Tacuary
Their league position
Libertad
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
12º
48
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Libertad
48
48
100%
Cerro Porteño
45
45
100%
Olimpia
36
36
100%
Sportivo Luqueño
35
35
100%
Guaraní
31
31
0%
2 de Mayo
31
31
0%
Sol de América
26
26
100%
Tacuary
23
23
0%
Sportivo Ameliano
23
23
0%
Nacional
10º
22
22
10º
100%
Sportivo Trinidense
11º
21
21
11º
100%
General Caballero JLM
12º
19
19
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tacuary
Libertad
CONMEBOL Libertadores
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Tacuary
Libertad
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tacuary
Tacuary
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2024
2DE
2 de Mayo
3 - 1
Tacuary
TAC
43%
27%
30%
78 77 1 0
05 May. 2024
TAC
Tacuary
0 - 0
Sportivo Trinidense
SPT
43%
26%
32%
77 78 1 +1
28 Apr. 2024
LQE
Sportivo Luqueño
1 - 2
Tacuary
TAC
48%
26%
26%
77 79 2 0
21 Apr. 2024
TAC
Tacuary
4 - 4
Guaraní
GUA
40%
27%
33%
76 78 2 +1
14 Apr. 2024
OLI
Olimpia
2 - 1
Tacuary
TAC
53%
24%
23%
77 79 2 -1

Matches

Libertad
Libertad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2024
RIV
River Plate
2 - 0
Libertad
LIB
64%
20%
16%
78 85 7 0
11 May. 2024
LIB
Libertad
4 - 1
Sol de América
AME
45%
26%
29%
78 78 0 0
08 May. 2024
TAC
Deportivo Táchira
1 - 1
Libertad
LIB
31%
25%
44%
78 71 7 0
04 May. 2024
LIB
Libertad
1 - 3
Cerro Porteño
CCP
46%
26%
28%
78 79 1 0
28 Apr. 2024
2DE
2 de Mayo
2 - 0
Libertad
LIB
39%
27%
35%
79 76 3 -1