Esiliiga Round 13

Tabasalu Charma vs Tartu Welco analysis

Tabasalu Charma Tartu Welco
50 ELO 62
35.2% Tilt 27.3%
5584º General ELO ranking 1781º
29º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
28.6%
Tabasalu Charma
23.7%
Draw
47.8%
Tartu Welco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
Tabasalu Charma
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.8%
Win probability
Tartu Welco
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tabasalu Charma
+16%
+16%
Tartu Welco

Points and table prediction

Tabasalu Charma
Their league position
Tartu Welco
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
10º
60
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Harju JK Laagri
78
78
100%
Viimsi JK
75
75
100%
FC Flora Tallin II
66
66
100%
Tartu Welco
60
60
100%
FC Tallinn
53
53
100%
Levadia Tallinn II
44
44
100%
Tallinna Kalev II
42
42
100%
FC Elva
41
41
100%
Paide II
25
25
100%
Tabasalu Charma
10º
16
16
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tabasalu Charma
Tartu Welco
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Tabasalu Charma
Tartu Welco
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tabasalu Charma
Tabasalu Charma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2024
HJP
Harju JK Laagri
4 - 3
Tabasalu Charma
TAB
75%
15%
10%
51 63 12 0
19 May. 2024
TAB
Tabasalu Charma
1 - 2
FC Tallinn
FCT
36%
23%
41%
51 58 7 0
11 May. 2024
PAI
Paide II
3 - 0
Tabasalu Charma
TAB
36%
22%
43%
52 48 4 -1
04 May. 2024
VJK
Viimsi JK
1 - 0
Tabasalu Charma
TAB
64%
20%
15%
52 64 12 0
28 Apr. 2024
TAB
Tabasalu Charma
2 - 0
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
28%
23%
49%
51 62 11 +1

Matches

Tartu Welco
Tartu Welco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2024
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
2 - 2
Tartu Welco
WEL
40%
26%
35%
61 59 2 0
19 May. 2024
WEL
Tartu Welco
2 - 1
Paide II
PAI
66%
19%
15%
61 49 12 0
11 May. 2024
WEL
Tartu Welco
0 - 2
Harju JK Laagri
HJP
46%
25%
30%
62 61 1 -1
04 May. 2024
FLO
FC Flora Tallin II
1 - 1
Tartu Welco
WEL
56%
21%
23%
61 61 0 +1
28 Apr. 2024
TKA
Tallinna Kalev II
0 - 3
Tartu Welco
WEL
36%
24%
39%
61 54 7 0