Tabasalu Charma vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
5º
10º
8º
32
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 75 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 62 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 61 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 60 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 57 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 34 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 33 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 27 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 26 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 60% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
39% | 18% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
28% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tabasalu Charma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 1
PAI
63%
18%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 0
TAB
45%
23%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 1
LEV
50%
22%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TAB
3 - 5
FCT
54%
20%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TAB
3 - 0
PAI
20%
21%
59%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
HJP
2 - 0
FLO
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 1
HJP
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HJP
2 - 2
VJK
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
HJP
1 - 2
SUP
70%
16%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SKA
2 - 2
HJP
40%
22%
38%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |