Tabacal Orán vs Def. Fraile Pintado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tabacal Orán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAH
0 - 2
TAB
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TAB
1 - 1
CAM
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TIR
0 - 0
TAB
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TAB
1 - 0
SFB
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
2 - 0
TAB
83%
11%
5%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Fraile Pintado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 1
9%
16%
76%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAH
2 - 1
FRA
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
MIT
13%
20%
67%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 1
FRA
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 1
APE
16%
20%
64%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |