't Fean '58 vs Pelikaan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
87.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.4%
0-4
9.9%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0%
-4
14.2%
0-5
6.3%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8.5%
0-6
3.4%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.3%
0-7
1.5%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
1.9%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+727%
-71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
14º
12º
48
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 66.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
't Fean '58
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TFE
0 - 6
ONS
3%
7%
90%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GOR
3 - 1
TFE
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
3 - 1
TFE
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
TFE
0 - 16
GRO
1%
3%
97%
|
8 | 72 | 64 | -1 |
Matches
Pelikaan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FVC
2 - 6
PEL
14%
18%
68%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEL
7 - 2
LEE
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PEL
3 - 2
BRO
52%
21%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PEL
3 - 3
ORA
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ZMV
4 - 2
PEL
6%
12%
82%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | -3 |