Szegedi VSE vs Budapest Honvéd II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
14º
10º
5
8º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
10 | 65 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 60 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 58 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 57 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 53 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 48 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 39 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 36 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 36 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 36 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 29 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 29 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 25 |
16º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Szegedi VSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
GYU
5 - 1
VSE
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
VSE
0 - 1
BEK
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
VSE
0 - 1
MLS
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
DUN
2 - 2
VSE
50%
22%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
VSE
0 - 4
GYU
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Budapest Honvéd II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
HON
5 - 0
MLS
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 0
HON
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
HON
1 - 2
BDP
31%
23%
47%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
SCG
2 - 2
HON
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
HON
1 - 1
DAB
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |