Sydney FC vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
45.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
12º
5º
55
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
SYD
2 - 1
CEL
20%
22%
58%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SYD
0 - 1
WES
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRI
3 - 1
SYD
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
2 - 3
SYD
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SYD
2 - 2
ADE
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
MCI
27%
25%
47%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MCI
4 - 0
PER
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MCI
2 - 2
WPH
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 2
MCI
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 2
MCI
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |