Sydney FC vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
12º
7º
18
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
33% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 66% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 2
PER
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 1
WES
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 5
SYD
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
MCI
2 - 0
SYD
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
SYD
35%
27%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
4 - 3
ADE
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
4 - 0
SUF
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
MEL
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 3
MFC
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
5 - 0
PPC
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 27 | 41 | 0 |