SWZ vs Stevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
GER
3 - 3
SWZ
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
BEQ
3 - 0
SWZ
50%
24%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
JOU
2 - 4
SWZ
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SWZ
1 - 2
VVA
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
SWZ
3 - 2
HSC
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
STE
1 - 4
BEQ
20%
23%
57%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
VVA
0 - 3
STE
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ROH
3 - 0
STE
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
HSC
1 - 2
STE
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
STE
0 - 1
DET
12%
19%
69%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |