SWZ vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
ENS
1 - 0
SWZ
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SWZ
0 - 0
HSC
43%
24%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
WSV
3 - 2
SWZ
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SWZ
1 - 0
BEQ
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
SWZ
4 - 2
ROH
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
JOU
1 - 0
MSC
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
MSC
2 - 1
ROH
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
MSC
0 - 1
ENS
19%
24%
57%
|
28 | 65 | 37 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BAB
2 - 1
MSC
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MSC
2 - 2
WKE
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |