Swindon Supermarine vs Winchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 0
SWI
17%
22%
60%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
SWI
0 - 1
THA
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
WEF
0 - 1
SWI
29%
26%
46%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
DID
1 - 4
SWI
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 1
BUR
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Winchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
WIN
2 - 2
HIL
68%
19%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
NEW
2 - 0
WIN
24%
24%
53%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
WIN
1 - 1
OXF
25%
24%
52%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
WIN
2 - 1
AND
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
HAN
2 - 0
WIN
39%
25%
37%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |