Swindon Supermarine vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SWI
1 - 1
DID
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2010 |
BED
1 - 2
SWI
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
NUN
1 - 0
SWI
73%
18%
10%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
SWI
1 - 1
CAM
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
CLE
2 - 6
SWI
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
HAL
3 - 3
OXF
67%
19%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
OXF
2 - 2
WHI
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BED
1 - 1
OXF
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
OXF
3 - 0
EVE
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
RUG
4 - 0
OXF
16%
22%
62%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -3 |