Swindon Supermarine vs Evesham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SWI
5 - 0
GUI
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SHO
1 - 1
SWI
47%
25%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
CIR
0 - 1
SWI
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 4
DID
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
SWI
4 - 1
MAN
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 2
EVE
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
EVE
1 - 4
MER
21%
21%
58%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CLE
1 - 1
EVE
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
EVE
5 - 0
THA
61%
21%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
EVE
2 - 6
WIM
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |