Swift vs VVZ .49 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
SVL
0 - 1
SWI
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SWI
0 - 0
ZWA
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
VVZ
1 - 3
SWI
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 6
SWI
11%
17%
72%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SWI
2 - 1
MAR
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VVZ .49
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
VVZ
3 - 2
BRE
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CSW
3 - 5
VVZ
47%
22%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
VVZ
1 - 3
SWI
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
VVZ
0 - 3
EEM
57%
21%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
VVZ
1 - 2
SDV
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |