Swift vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
84%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.9%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SWI
2 - 2
RIJ
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ARG
1 - 1
SWI
29%
23%
49%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 1
JOD
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
SWI
3 - 0
HBS
33%
26%
42%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 3
SWI
26%
20%
54%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
VVV
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 3
LAZ
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 3
VIT
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 2
AZA
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
RJC
1 - 3
VIT
23%
26%
52%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |