Swift vs Roda'46 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
SWI
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
DBE
1 - 1
SWI
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ZUI
2 - 3
SWI
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SWI
5 - 3
SPO
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
GEI
2 - 1
SWI
24%
24%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Roda'46
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ROD
1 - 1
ZUI
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 1
ROD
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
YBO
6 - 0
ROD
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
DEM
3 - 0
ROD
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
AJA
4 - 0
ROD
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |