Swift vs Montfoort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SWI
4 - 1
ZUI
67%
19%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
YBO
1 - 0
SWI
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SWI
1 - 0
DBE
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
SWI
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SWI
2 - 1
GEI
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Montfoort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
MON
5 - 2
DEM
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ZUI
4 - 2
MON
64%
20%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MON
0 - 2
HUI
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
YBO
2 - 1
MON
80%
14%
7%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
VVZ
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |