Swift vs Hoek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
JOD
2 - 2
SWI
58%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SWI
0 - 1
ACH
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SMI
1 - 4
SWI
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
JOD
1 - 1
SWI
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SWI
0 - 0
SPA
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HOE
1 - 1
SLI
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HOE
2 - 0
AJA
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
TER
1 - 0
HOE
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
HAA
0 - 2
HOE
30%
22%
48%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HOE
2 - 1
DEL
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |