Swift vs HBOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SWI
4 - 0
VOO
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
SWI
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SWI
2 - 1
GHC
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ZWA
1 - 3
SWI
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
HAA
4 - 2
SWI
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
HBOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HBO
0 - 1
HVC
35%
23%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
HBO
0 - 2
ZWA
21%
21%
58%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
HBO
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HBO
2 - 1
ARC
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
FSP
5 - 1
HBO
54%
21%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |