Swift vs Eemdijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CSW
2 - 2
SWI
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SWI
2 - 0
MAR
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SVL
2 - 3
SWI
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 2
VIT
51%
23%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
NOO
2 - 0
SWI
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Eemdijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
EEM
4 - 2
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ZUI
0 - 3
EEM
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
EEM
0 - 2
DVV
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ZUI
4 - 2
EEM
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
EEM
2 - 1
VVA
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |