Swift vs Door Fusie Sterk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
RVV
1 - 1
SWI
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NOO
2 - 1
SWI
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 2
AJA
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SWI
3 - 0
BRE
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TER
4 - 1
SWI
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Door Fusie Sterk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TER
4 - 1
DFS
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DFS
1 - 3
JOD
43%
21%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RVV
3 - 1
DFS
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HOE
0 - 0
DFS
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DFS
2 - 0
ARG
40%
21%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |