Swift Hesperange vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
TNS
1 - 1
SWI
51%
21%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
JEU
0 - 1
SWI
26%
22%
52%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SWI
0 - 2
SBR
40%
23%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SBR
1 - 1
SWI
56%
21%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 2
SWI
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
TNS
1 - 1
SWI
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
TNS
0 - 2
HÄC
31%
22%
47%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HÄC
3 - 1
TNS
70%
17%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
TNS
13%
18%
69%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
TNS
38%
25%
38%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |