UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 1-3
Swift Hesperange vs Slovan Bratislava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
37%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SBR
1 - 1
SWI
56%
21%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 2
SWI
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
JEU
1 - 1
SWI
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 6
SWI
19%
22%
59%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SWI
5 - 1
VIC
69%
18%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Bratislava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SBR
1 - 1
SWI
56%
21%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SBR
4 - 1
RAP
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SBR
2 - 0
PLO
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
SBR
2 - 1
OLI
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SBR
3 - 0
UCL
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |