Swansea University vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
56.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
16º
15º
33
2º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
5 - 0
SUF
85%
11%
4%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
SUF
2 - 3
PON
58%
20%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
PON
2 - 3
SUF
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
SUF
1 - 2
BRI
12%
18%
70%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 3
SUF
81%
12%
8%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 2
TAF
49%
24%
28%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 2
LLA
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
LLA
4 - 0
TAF
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
TAF
3 - 4
BRI
23%
23%
54%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
TAF
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |