Swansea City Sub 18 vs Aston Villa Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
47.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LEI
0 - 3
SWA
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SWA
2 - 2
TOT
24%
21%
56%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BHA
3 - 1
SWA
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SWA
2 - 2
FUL
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
CHE
5 - 0
SWA
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FUL
2 - 3
AST
65%
18%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AST
1 - 1
CHE
18%
18%
65%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
SOU
4 - 0
AST
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AST
1 - 0
BHA
66%
18%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TOT
5 - 1
AST
53%
20%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |