Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1936 |
ASV
4 - 0
SWA
85%
9%
6%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
PLY
0 - 0
SWA
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
SWA
3 - 0
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
NEW
5 - 1
SWA
75%
14%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
SWA
2 - 1
NOR
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1936 |
PLY
0 - 3
FUL
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
PLY
0 - 0
SWA
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
PLY
3 - 0
BCF
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
BBU
2 - 3
PLY
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
PLY
1 - 3
BPO
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |