Swansea City vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 0
SWA
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
SWA
3 - 3
BIR
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SWA
4 - 1
GIL
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SWA
1 - 0
SHE
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
PNE
1 - 1
SWA
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
MIL
0 - 0
ROT
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MIL
3 - 2
EVE
14%
21%
65%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MID
1 - 1
MIL
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
MIL
0 - 2
BBU
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 1
HUL
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |