Cup Winners Cup . 1/16
Global 3-7
Swansea City vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1961 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWA
48%
22%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1961 |
SWA
2 - 1
SCU
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1961 |
WAL
0 - 0
SWA
51%
22%
27%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1961 |
SWA
3 - 3
MID
56%
19%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1961 |
SWA
3 - 1
DER
67%
18%
15%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
CZJ
3 - 2
LOK
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
CZJ
1 - 0
VOW
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1961 |
SAC
1 - 1
CZJ
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
LAS
1 - 3
CZJ
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
CZJ
2 - 0
BWA
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |