Rohrbach vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-91%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
11º
11º
60
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rohrbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
WAI
0 - 4
SVR
47%
25%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 1
SVR
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
SVR
2 - 1
SVH
53%
23%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SCO
0 - 0
SVR
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
SVR
0 - 1
KOT
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 0
ZWE
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SCR
0 - 1
ARD
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ARD
7 - 0
MAN
79%
15%
7%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPR
0 - 0
ARD
11%
19%
70%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 0
STP
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |