Svilengrad vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
50.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Svilengrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SPA
3 - 1
SVI
63%
22%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SVI
1 - 2
CHE
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
KAL
2 - 0
SVI
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SVE
2 - 1
SVI
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LYU
2 - 1
SVI
63%
21%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SVA
1 - 0
SVE
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SVA
1 - 0
LYU
65%
23%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CHE
3 - 0
SVA
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
DOB
2 - 0
SVA
16%
26%
59%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SVA
3 - 0
MIN
70%
19%
10%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |