SVBO vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SVBO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
GRC
5 - 0
SVB
25%
20%
55%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SVB
1 - 1
VVE
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SVB
5 - 2
GAC
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VVN
3 - 1
SVB
9%
14%
77%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SVB
0 - 0
FVC
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ALC
5 - 2
GRC
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NIE
3 - 2
ALC
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ALC
6 - 1
ROL
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FVC
0 - 6
ALC
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 2
GAC
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |