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Austria Fourth Division. Alta Austria, Matchday 12

Zebau Bad Ischl vs Union Perg analysis

Zebau Bad Ischl Union Perg
11 ELO 11
-52% Tilt 12%
26591º General ELO ranking 17697º
573º Country ELO ranking 300º
ELO win probability
21.1%
Zebau Bad Ischl
31.2%
Draw
47.7%
Union Perg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
Zebau Bad Ischl
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.4%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
16.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.2%
47.7%
Win probability
Union Perg
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zebau Bad Ischl
-48%
+9%
Union Perg

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Oedt
66
66
100%
Neuhofen / Ried II
63
63
100%
Union Weißkirchen
57
59
100%
SV Wallern
48
48
0%
Donau Linz
47
49
0%
St. Valentin
43
45
100%
Union Edelweiß
41
41
32%
Union St. Florian
40
41
37%
Pöttinger Grieskirchen
40
41
10º
22%
Kornspitz Pregarten
10º
39
41
5%
Zebau Bad Ischl
11º
37
38
11º
100%
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
12º
33
33
12º
100%
Union Perg
13º
32
32
13º
100%
St. Martin im Muhlreis
14º
27
28
15º
54%
Gmunden
15º
26
28
14º
46%
Marchtrenk
16º
23
23
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Zebau Bad Ischl
Union Perg
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Union Perg
UNP
Zebau Bad Ischl
SVZ
Pöttinger Grieskirchen
SVP
Gmunden
GMU
Marchtrenk
MAR
Kornspitz Pregarten
SPG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zebau Bad Ischl
Zebau Bad Ischl
1%
X%
2%
ELO SVZ ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2018
UNI
Union Weißkirchen
3 - 1
Zebau Bad Ischl
SVZ
46%
27%
28%
165 121 -44 -1
06 Oct. 2018
SVZ
Zebau Bad Ischl
1 - 0
Union St. Florian
STF
46%
27%
28%
164 207 -43 +1
29 Sep. 2018
OED
Oedt
5 - 1
Zebau Bad Ischl
SVZ
46%
27%
26%
166 239 73 -2
22 Sep. 2018
SVZ
Zebau Bad Ischl
0 - 1
Neuhofen / Ried II
NEU
46%
27%
27%
166 167 -1 -1
15 Sep. 2018
UNI
Union Edelweiß
6 - 0
Zebau Bad Ischl
SVZ
45%
27%
28%
168 187 19 -2

Matches

Union Perg
Union Perg
1%
X%
2%
ELO UNP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2018
UNP
Union Perg
3 - 1
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
GRU
45%
27%
28%
160 139 21 +1
05 Oct. 2018
SPG
Kornspitz Pregarten
1 - 1
Union Perg
UNP
45%
27%
28%
160 176 16 0
28 Sep. 2018
UNP
Union Perg
2 - 0
Gmunden
GMU
45%
27%
28%
159 147 12 +1
22 Sep. 2018
DON
Donau Linz
1 - 1
Union Perg
UNP
46%
27%
27%
159 138 -21 0
14 Sep. 2018
UNI
Union Weißkirchen
1 - 1
Union Perg
UNP
46%
27%
28%
159 119 -40 0