Trupial vs Dakota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trupial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
SVB
1 - 0
SVT
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
SVT
0 - 2
RIV
46%
24%
29%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
EST
2 - 1
SVT
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BRI
8 - 0
SVT
55%
22%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
SVT
2 - 6
FAM
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dakota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
SVJ
1 - 1
DAK
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 2
DAK
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
EST
2 - 2
DAK
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2008 |
RIV
4 - 0
DAK
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
DAK
1 - 1
SVB
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |