Todesfelde II vs Hagen Ahrensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Todesfelde II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
TOD
1 - 2
ECZ
58%
19%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
TOD
0 - 0
PLA
26%
20%
54%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HUL
1 - 3
TOD
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
KKT
4 - 0
TOD
77%
14%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
EUT
2 - 1
TOD
84%
11%
6%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HAG
1 - 1
TSH
75%
15%
11%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PAN
4 - 3
HAG
63%
18%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
HAG
0 - 1
GWS
48%
21%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
KKT
5 - 0
HAG
54%
20%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HAG
2 - 1
EUT
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +2 |