SV Tillmitsch vs Hartberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
3º
48
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Tillmitsch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
LAF
2 - 1
SVT
32%
21%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SVT
2 - 1
KIN
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 1
SVT
26%
21%
53%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
SVT
3 - 0
ALL
31%
21%
48%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ILZ
2 - 1
SVT
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
FUR
1 - 2
TSH
63%
18%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 3
TSH
13%
17%
70%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
HGK
1 - 0
TSH
45%
21%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TSH
3 - 1
TUS
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TSH
0 - 3
UGA
44%
21%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |