Austria Fourth Division Styria Round 24

SV Tillmitsch vs Hartberg II analysis

SV Tillmitsch Hartberg II
35 ELO 27
-4.9% Tilt -2.3%
6724º General ELO ranking 8007º
121º Country ELO ranking 152º
ELO win probability
61.6%
SV Tillmitsch
18.9%
Draw
19.5%
Hartberg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
SV Tillmitsch
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.5%
Win probability
Hartberg II
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SV Tillmitsch
-28%
-2%
Hartberg II

Points and table prediction

SV Tillmitsch
Their league position
Hartberg II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
10º
48
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Wildon
56
56
100%
SV Tillmitsch
55
55
100%
Kalsdorf
51
51
59.5%
Hartberg II
48
49
59.5%
Lafnitz II
48
48
100%
45
45
0%
Fehring
44
45
0%
Ilzer SV
45
45
0%
Union Gamlitz
44
44
100%
TUS Heiligenkreuz
10º
43
43
10º
100%
FC Schladming
11º
43
43
11º
100%
SC Fürstenfeld
12º
42
42
12º
100%
Lebring
13º
39
39
13º
100%
SC Bruck/Mur
14º
30
30
14º
100%
Frauental
15º
26
26
15º
100%
SV Union Gnas
16º
18
18
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
SV Tillmitsch
Hartberg II
100% 100%

ELO progression

SV Tillmitsch
Hartberg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SV Tillmitsch
SV Tillmitsch
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2024
SVF
Frauental
1 - 4
SV Tillmitsch
SVT
17%
19%
64%
34 20 14 0
19 Apr. 2024
SVT
SV Tillmitsch
1 - 0
Köflach
KOF
53%
21%
26%
34 32 2 0
14 Apr. 2024
LEB
Lebring
1 - 0
SV Tillmitsch
SVT
40%
21%
39%
35 29 6 -1
05 Apr. 2024
FUR
SC Fürstenfeld
0 - 2
SV Tillmitsch
SVT
54%
19%
26%
33 33 0 +2
29 Mar. 2024
SVT
SV Tillmitsch
1 - 0
Kalsdorf
KAL
44%
22%
34%
33 33 0 0

Matches

Hartberg II
Hartberg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2024
TSH
Hartberg II
1 - 3
Kalsdorf
KAL
39%
21%
40%
28 33 5 0
19 Apr. 2024
FCS
FC Schladming
2 - 5
Hartberg II
TSH
35%
22%
43%
27 24 3 +1
13 Apr. 2024
TSH
Hartberg II
6 - 0
SC Bruck/Mur
SCB
45%
21%
34%
25 26 1 +2
05 Apr. 2024
HGK
TUS Heiligenkreuz
3 - 3
Hartberg II
TSH
68%
17%
16%
25 33 8 0
30 Mar. 2024
TSH
Hartberg II
3 - 0
SV Union Gnas
GNA
45%
21%
34%
24 25 1 +1