Austria Fourth Division Styria Round 26

SV Tillmitsch vs Fehring analysis

SV Tillmitsch Fehring
35 ELO 33
-5.2% Tilt -3.2%
7334º General ELO ranking 8554º
134º Country ELO ranking 172º
ELO win probability
51.3%
SV Tillmitsch
21%
Draw
27.6%
Fehring

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
SV Tillmitsch
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
27.6%
Win probability
Fehring
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SV Tillmitsch
-28%
-40%
Fehring

Points and table prediction

SV Tillmitsch
Their league position
Fehring
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
10º
44
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Wildon
56
56
100%
SV Tillmitsch
55
55
100%
Kalsdorf
51
51
59.5%
Hartberg II
48
49
59.5%
Lafnitz II
48
48
100%
45
45
0%
Fehring
44
45
0%
Ilzer SV
45
45
0%
Union Gamlitz
44
44
100%
TUS Heiligenkreuz
10º
43
43
10º
100%
FC Schladming
11º
43
43
11º
100%
SC Fürstenfeld
12º
42
42
12º
100%
Lebring
13º
39
39
13º
100%
SC Bruck/Mur
14º
30
30
14º
100%
Frauental
15º
26
26
15º
100%
SV Union Gnas
16º
18
18
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
SV Tillmitsch
Fehring
100% 100%

ELO progression

SV Tillmitsch
Fehring
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SV Tillmitsch
SV Tillmitsch
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2024
UGA
Union Gamlitz
0 - 2
SV Tillmitsch
SVT
42%
22%
36%
35 32 3 0
03 May. 2024
SVT
SV Tillmitsch
2 - 2
Hartberg II
TSH
62%
19%
20%
35 27 8 0
26 Apr. 2024
SVF
Frauental
1 - 4
SV Tillmitsch
SVT
17%
19%
64%
34 20 14 +1
19 Apr. 2024
SVT
SV Tillmitsch
1 - 0
Köflach
KOF
53%
21%
26%
34 32 2 0
14 Apr. 2024
LEB
Lebring
1 - 0
SV Tillmitsch
SVT
40%
21%
39%
35 29 6 -1

Matches

Fehring
Fehring
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2024
FEH
Fehring
1 - 1
Kalsdorf
KAL
36%
22%
42%
32 36 4 0
03 May. 2024
FCS
FC Schladming
2 - 1
Fehring
FEH
21%
20%
60%
34 22 12 -2
26 Apr. 2024
FEH
Fehring
1 - 1
SC Bruck/Mur
SCB
61%
19%
20%
34 25 9 0
20 Apr. 2024
HGK
TUS Heiligenkreuz
1 - 0
Fehring
FEH
40%
21%
39%
35 31 4 -1
12 Apr. 2024
FEH
Fehring
5 - 0
SV Union Gnas
GNA
61%
19%
20%
34 26 8 +1