SV Sporting vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
SVU
1 - 2
SVS
12%
16%
72%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
UFC
2 - 4
SVS
29%
20%
51%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
SVS
6 - 1
SVR
86%
9%
5%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
SVS
5 - 0
RCS
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 4
SVS
31%
21%
49%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
UFC
7 - 1
CAR
70%
15%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 3
SVR
80%
12%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 3
RCS
79%
12%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
SVU
2 - 0
CAR
22%
19%
59%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 4
SVS
31%
21%
49%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |