Sparta Lichtenberg vs Dynamo Schwerin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
77.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
10º
3º
28
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 1
PRE
9%
14%
77%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SVS
5 - 0
LIC
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
TBD
2 - 0
SVS
59%
19%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
RCH
3 - 2
SVS
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 48 | 37 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LIC
2 - 0
SVS
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Schwerin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
DSC
1 - 3
POM
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
DSC
2 - 3
RSV
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SCS
4 - 1
DSC
43%
22%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
DSC
2 - 1
HER
50%
22%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
FMS
3 - 0
DSC
11%
16%
74%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -3 |