River Plate vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
RIV
68%
18%
15%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
RCA
29%
22%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 3
NAC
29%
21%
50%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DAK
4 - 0
RIV
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EST
4 - 1
RIV
35%
21%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DAK
6 - 1
EST
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 0
EST
68%
17%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RCA
0 - 1
EST
71%
17%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
4 - 1
EST
72%
15%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EST
4 - 1
RIV
35%
21%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |