River Plate vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 2
FAM
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2010 |
BRI
8 - 2
RIV
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
RIV
30%
23%
47%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 0
RCA
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
SVS
0 - 3
RIV
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
EST
37%
24%
40%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
EST
3 - 0
FAM
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BUB
2 - 1
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
EST
9 - 0
SVS
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
JTL
2 - 1
EST
49%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |