River Plate vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
RIV
0 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SVE
1 - 2
RIV
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
RIV
2 - 1
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
RIV
0 - 1
DAK
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2007 |
RCA
2 - 2
RIV
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2008 |
EST
2 - 0
SVJ
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
EST
1 - 4
DAK
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
RCA
3 - 1
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
SVE
0 - 4
EST
43%
24%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
EST
1 - 3
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |