Neuhof vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
58%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuhof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 1
NEU
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SGB
4 - 0
NEU
91%
7%
2%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
NEU
2 - 4
FCH
8%
14%
78%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NEU
2 - 0
VIK
14%
17%
69%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SVZ
1 - 1
NEU
86%
10%
5%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
FER
1 - 7
OFC
8%
13%
80%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FER
1 - 2
BAU
33%
22%
46%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FER
5 - 2
WAL
24%
19%
57%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TAM
2 - 3
FER
89%
9%
2%
|
19 | 54 | 35 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
RWW
11%
16%
74%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +2 |