Mayrhofen vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
16º
11º
27
4º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mayrhofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
KEM
4 - 2
SVM
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
SVM
3 - 2
STJ
23%
20%
58%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
SVM
3 - 5
FCV
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
SCM
6 - 1
SVM
62%
17%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
VOL
3 - 0
SVM
70%
16%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
KIR
2 - 4
FCK
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 2
KIR
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
KIR
1 - 2
WBO
33%
21%
46%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
KIR
2 - 2
IAC
17%
18%
65%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SCM
5 - 1
KIR
30%
20%
49%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |