Marvilde vs t Zand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
56.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
12º
11º
36
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
65% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
94% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
90% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marvilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SCK
0 - 0
SVM
8%
14%
79%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TEW
3 - 1
SVM
54%
20%
26%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SVM
3 - 4
AWC
29%
21%
49%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TZA
2 - 3
SVM
80%
12%
7%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SVM
2 - 4
GOE
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
t Zand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TZA
1 - 3
TAC
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
TZA
1 - 2
RKS
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
TZA
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
TZA
1 - 3
RKS
45%
22%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
OLY
4 - 2
TZA
18%
22%
61%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |