Lochau vs Koblach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
10º
2º
27
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lochau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCH
1 - 1
LOC
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LOC
3 - 0
HIT
91%
7%
2%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 3
LOC
33%
22%
46%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LOC
3 - 1
FCH
78%
14%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
AUS
0 - 4
LOC
19%
19%
63%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Koblach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
KBL
2 - 2
NEN
7%
12%
81%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AND
3 - 1
KBL
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
KBL
0 - 2
BIZ
12%
17%
71%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
KBL
1 - 2
BRE
41%
22%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
5 - 0
KBL
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |