Leones vs Woezik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
11º
10º
33
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
78% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TOP
6 - 0
SVL
67%
16%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SVL
2 - 1
SDO
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SVL
0 - 1
MAS
31%
21%
49%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
DEB
3 - 2
SVL
60%
20%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
WSV
1 - 0
SVL
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Woezik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
WOE
2 - 4
MAS
21%
19%
61%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WSV
0 - 0
WOE
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
WOE
3 - 1
VVB
53%
20%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RKH
5 - 1
WOE
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VOO
3 - 2
WOE
66%
19%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |