Lafnitz II vs Union Gamlitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
15º
5º
44
1º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
TSH
4 - 3
LAF
6%
12%
82%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
USV
1 - 5
LAF
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
VOI
1 - 1
LAF
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LAF
3 - 0
ILZ
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
GNA
4 - 1
LAF
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Union Gamlitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
UGA
4 - 0
WEI
21%
21%
58%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
UGA
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
UGA
2 - 0
LEB
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
FEH
3 - 2
UGA
62%
18%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
UGA
0 - 3
JUD
78%
14%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |