Lafnitz II vs TUS Heiligenkreuz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
15º
3º
37
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 53 |
1º
|
26.5% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 53 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 51 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 51 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 50 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 43 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 43 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 41 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 41 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 40 |
13º
|
54% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
90.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 21 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
GNA
3 - 4
LAF
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
LAF
5 - 3
SVW
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ILZ
0 - 2
LAF
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LAF
3 - 3
FUR
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
LAF
3 - 1
FEH
31%
21%
48%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HGK
1 - 0
FEH
41%
21%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
UGA
4 - 1
HGK
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
HGK
3 - 3
TSH
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SVF
0 - 2
HGK
16%
19%
65%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
HGK
0 - 0
MOK
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |